Yeah but this kind of “opportunity” has presented itself many times over the history of Palestine and the “Arab world” has left them high and dry for their own benefit every time…

Yeah but TSMC isn’t gonna just walk away and let China have it… They’re gonna sabotage all of it and leave them with nothing… and if they don’t do it themselves, the US will make it so…

How is Taiwan crucial for China? Locality? There’s nothing there of value aside from subjugation and a raw land grab.

The terrain makes it fairly defensible on the west coast. The economy would tank. Businesses of real value would implode.

The people don’t want to be “reunified” and will not tow the line so easily. China has never had to endure longterm modern asymmetrical warfare.

I just don’t see how it would benefit them vs the cost in the short and near term. If they could pull it off over 50 years then maybe but I don’t think it would play out that way.

Laughs in CIA