NaibofTabr

Ye-ye-ye-ye-yeh

Only if she dances.

if an armed conflict does start here, and then it broadens, and then 10 years later youre reading about it in a history text book…

Is the term civil war going to be used?

Or will we all agree to call it the special military and police action to quell an illegal use of force by rogue and criminal elements within the united states government?

This is a very big if, and really only makes sense as a possibility to people who don’t understand how the military is organized in the US.

The group which denied US Border Patrol agents access to Shelby Park was the Texas Army National Guard. While it’s true that they have Texas in the name and are mostly recruited locally, all Army National Guard units are components of the US (federal) Army, regardless of which state they are based in. This means that they are part of the executive branch of government under the DoD. They are a US Army unit that is stationed in Texas, not a Texas Army unit that cooperates with the US government. While they can be given orders by their local state governor, they answer to the Chief of Staff of the Army (General Randy A. George) and ultimately to the Commander in Chief (President Joe Biden).

USBP is part of US Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which is also part of the executive branch of the US government under the Department of Homeland Security, which again ultimately answers to the president.

So, if an armed conflict did occur here it would genuinely be a civil war. It would mean that a component of the US federal military (DoD) was firing on the staff of a US federal agency (DoHS). At that point it doesn’t matter who ordered them to do it, it’s literally the federal government shooting at itself.

There is no chance that the commander of the Texas National Guard unit would order their soldiers to fire on federal agents unless they’re a complete idiot. They would be immediately ordered to stand down by whoever their superior is in the regular US Army, and then removed from command. Defiance of that would literally mean rebellion within the US Army, and probably open warfare. This is extremely unlikely. They might talk big, but Texas is in no way prepared to start a conflict with the US at large.

The comparison with Ukraine is asinine.

Hmm, a body has several holes in it… it arguable is an open container, made of animal hide.

Hong Kong, a former British colony, was returned to Chinese rule in 1997 with the promise of wide autonomy under a “one country, two systems” framework

A promise which China immediately broke. When the people of Hong Kong protested against China’s increasing authoritarian control and general dishonesty, China used it as an excuse to brutalize them.

Beijing in 2020 imposed a tough national security law on Hong Kong, which it said was vital to restore stability after the city, a global financial hub, was rocked for months by sometimes violent anti-government and anti-China protests in 2019.

This is such a softball take. The violence was caused by a pro-Chinese mob who were probably a gang paid by the government to attack the protesters, and by the Hong Kong police.

China and Taiwan’s main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT), have cast the election as a choice between war and peace.

[…]

KMT presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih said on Saturday a vote for the DPP was equivalent to “sending everyone out to the battlefield” because supporting Taiwan independence would touch off a war.

KMT is threatening the people of Taiwan with violence in order to influence their votes. If there is a war, it will be because China started it.